Early Islamic State in Kunar. Unknown to many there was a modern ideological and political predecessor to today's self-anointed Islamic State that had a short-lived existence in Afghanistan in 1990. The Islamic Emirate of Kunar was founded by Jamil al-Rahman and his Salafi political party following an election in Kunar, Afghanistan in early 1990. The demise of this Islamic State was hastened by conflict with HIG's leader Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. Read more in an article by Kevin Bell in "The First Islamic State: A Look Back at the Islamic Emirate of Kunar", CTC Sentinel, Combating Terrorism Center, West Point.
ISIS: Some Tactical Errors. While the militant says it is organizing the Islamic State in Afghanistan others say it is making some fierce enemies. Despite good organization and lots of money it has had its difficulties in getting established in eastern Afghanistan. Some instances of torture and the murder of innocent villages has cost it support. Read more in "How IS has been making enemies in Afghanistan", BBC News, February 20, 2016.
Defeat of ISIS in Afghanistan? The Islamic State in Afghanistan has had a rough start. It has been attacked by different groups of the Taliban. Reportedly the Pakistani security forces are making things difficult on that side of the border. The Afghan security forces are certainly playing a role in the IS security situation and the Americans have been doing a lot of airborne attacks (aircraft and drones). Read more in "Is Islamic State on the Verge of Defeat in the Last Afghan Stronghold", Gandhara Blog, February 17, 2016.
Sunday, February 21, 2016
Drug Trafficking in Afghanistan
Opium, Corruption, and Govt: A Smoothly Run Machine. Most government functions in Afghanistan simply do not work well. Whether it is the military, health services, police, education, or any other aspect of Afghan government at the national, provincial, and district level - there are problems with corruption, ineptness, and more. However, there is one aspect of Afghan society that seems to work well - that is the joining of government officials, drug traffickers, and others in ensuring that the opium gets to market - providing income and profits to many. Read more in "Tasked With Combating Opium, Afghan Officials Profit From It", The New York Times, February 15, 2016.
Taliban as a Drug Cartel. Recently the Taliban 'shadow governor' of Nimruz province (adjacent to the troubled Helmand province) was captured by Afghan special police (444) transporting nearly a metric ton of opium across the southwestern Afghan desert. The event highlights how much the Taliban and drug trade are intertwined in southwest Afghanistan. Read more in a news report by Azam Ahmed entitled "Penetrating Every Stage of Afghan Opium Chain, Taliban Become a Cartel", The New York Times, February 16, 2016.
Legalize Opium? One writer, Jeffrey Miron, shares his thoughts on the opium trade in "Opium Prohibition in Afghanistan", CATO Institute, February 16, 2016.
Drugs in Nangarhar. This province has historically been one of the more important ones - with a road that travels from Pakistan to Kabul (east-west). However, it has lots of problems with security. The Taliban are present as well as the newly-established Islamic State. And, of course, there is the drug problem. Read The Devil is in the Details: Nangarhar's continued decline into insurgency, violence and widespread drug production, Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AREU), February 2016.
Islamic Terrorism & Drug Money. The Taliban is not the only organization using drug money to finance operations. The Islamic State or ISIS depends heavily on drug money to fund its operations as well. Read more in "There's a little-known connection between Islamic terrorism and drug money", Business Insider, February 17, 2016.
Taliban as a Drug Cartel. Recently the Taliban 'shadow governor' of Nimruz province (adjacent to the troubled Helmand province) was captured by Afghan special police (444) transporting nearly a metric ton of opium across the southwestern Afghan desert. The event highlights how much the Taliban and drug trade are intertwined in southwest Afghanistan. Read more in a news report by Azam Ahmed entitled "Penetrating Every Stage of Afghan Opium Chain, Taliban Become a Cartel", The New York Times, February 16, 2016.
Legalize Opium? One writer, Jeffrey Miron, shares his thoughts on the opium trade in "Opium Prohibition in Afghanistan", CATO Institute, February 16, 2016.
Drugs in Nangarhar. This province has historically been one of the more important ones - with a road that travels from Pakistan to Kabul (east-west). However, it has lots of problems with security. The Taliban are present as well as the newly-established Islamic State. And, of course, there is the drug problem. Read The Devil is in the Details: Nangarhar's continued decline into insurgency, violence and widespread drug production, Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AREU), February 2016.
Islamic Terrorism & Drug Money. The Taliban is not the only organization using drug money to finance operations. The Islamic State or ISIS depends heavily on drug money to fund its operations as well. Read more in "There's a little-known connection between Islamic terrorism and drug money", Business Insider, February 17, 2016.
Development News
Afghanistan and the WTO. In December 2015 it was decided that Afghanistan could join the World Trade Organization. This should have some benefits to the Afghan economy over the next few years to include an increase in employment (possibly 10%) and a 1.5 percent boost in Afghanistan's gross domestic product. However, there are many issues to consider and resolve in this complex situation. Read more in "Aid and trade: Afghanistan's long road to WTO accession", Devex Impact (USAID), February 15, 2016.
Governance
Dostum Back in the Swing of Things. Vice President of Afghanistan Abdul Rashid Dostum had taken a break from participating in the National Unity Government (NUG) for a short while but now he is back in the fold. His advancement of private militias in northern Afghanistan had put him at odds with the NUG. There are more than one former mujahideen leaders calling for a greater role for private militias to participate in the fight against the Taliban - especially in light of the ANDSF ineffectiveness on the battlefield.
MSC 2016. President Ghani attended the Munich Security Conference where he stated that the conflict in Afghanistan is not a civil, internal war but a regional and international war. Most of the attention of the attendees (and press) was on the Syria situation and the Ukraine. Afghanistan was not a highlighted event and one wonders how much Ghani was able to accomplish. You can watch his 13-minute long speech in a video posted by the Afghan UN representative on YouTube on Feb 13, 2016. www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XplzKBVJIE
IO, CT, and Intel News
Bureau of Counterterrorism Renamed. The new name is the "Bureau of Counterterrorism and Countering Violent Extremism". This name (and mission) change reflects the emphasis placed on the new buzzword (or at least fairly new to me) of "Countering Violent Extremism" - sometimes called CVE. The new organization will look at combating terrorism, in part, by countering online extremism. Read more in "State changes counterterrorism unit to include online focus", FCW, February 16, 2016.
Worldwide Threat Assessment. The Director of National Intelligence, James R. Clapper, testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee on February 9, 2016 providing an assessment of threats against the United States. You can read his 33-page prepared statement for the record in Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community. The information on Afghanistan is on page 26 and comprises about 3/4 of a page in this report.
More on Clapper. It appears that the DNI was aware that high intelligence officials at Central Command (CENTCOM) were cooking the books when it came to intelligence estimates of ISIS in Iraq and Syria. Read more in "America's top spy reportedly was aware that analysts were cooking ISIS intelligence reports", Business Insider, February 16, 2016.
Assessing CT Actions. A 60-page report provides us with how to assess CT operations in Asking the Right Questions: A Framework for Assessing Counterterrorism Actions, CNA Analysis & Solutions, February 2016.
Resource on Global Islamist Insurgency. Robert Bunker and Dave Dilegge have provided us with a valuable resource about Al Qaeda and the Islamic State in Global Radical Islamist Insurgency: Al Qaeda and Islamic State Networks - A Small Wars Journal Anthology, iUnivers (February 11, 2016), 852 pages. http://smallwarsjournal.com/blog/global-radical-islamist-insurgency
Worldwide Threat Assessment. The Director of National Intelligence, James R. Clapper, testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee on February 9, 2016 providing an assessment of threats against the United States. You can read his 33-page prepared statement for the record in Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community. The information on Afghanistan is on page 26 and comprises about 3/4 of a page in this report.
More on Clapper. It appears that the DNI was aware that high intelligence officials at Central Command (CENTCOM) were cooking the books when it came to intelligence estimates of ISIS in Iraq and Syria. Read more in "America's top spy reportedly was aware that analysts were cooking ISIS intelligence reports", Business Insider, February 16, 2016.
Assessing CT Actions. A 60-page report provides us with how to assess CT operations in Asking the Right Questions: A Framework for Assessing Counterterrorism Actions, CNA Analysis & Solutions, February 2016.
Resource on Global Islamist Insurgency. Robert Bunker and Dave Dilegge have provided us with a valuable resource about Al Qaeda and the Islamic State in Global Radical Islamist Insurgency: Al Qaeda and Islamic State Networks - A Small Wars Journal Anthology, iUnivers (February 11, 2016), 852 pages. http://smallwarsjournal.com/blog/global-radical-islamist-insurgency
Peace Talks
High Peace Council Leadership. President Ghani has decided to appoint new leaders for the High Peace Council (HPC). He indicated that women and former mujahideen fighters would have representation on the HPC. The High Peace Council has had varying degrees of influence and power over the past decade depending on the politic circumstances and the reigning President (Karzai or Ghani). The situation with the National Unity Government or NUG has also put obstacles in the path of the peace process. (Pajhwok News Service, Feb 15, 2016)
Price of Peace. Talks with the Taliban should not come at the expense of the hard-earned progress on human rights. Read Maisam Wahidi's thoughts in "Afghanistan: The Price of Peace with the Taliban", The Diplomat, February 19, 2016.
Peace Talks to Gain Steam? A recent news report says that there is a good chance Afghan government officials and Taliban representatives may engage in direct talks with each other by the end of February 2016. Read more in "Afghan Official Expects Peace Talks Soon", Voice of America, February 15, 2016.
Price of Peace. Talks with the Taliban should not come at the expense of the hard-earned progress on human rights. Read Maisam Wahidi's thoughts in "Afghanistan: The Price of Peace with the Taliban", The Diplomat, February 19, 2016.
Peace Talks to Gain Steam? A recent news report says that there is a good chance Afghan government officials and Taliban representatives may engage in direct talks with each other by the end of February 2016. Read more in "Afghan Official Expects Peace Talks Soon", Voice of America, February 15, 2016.
Security News
Northern Afghanistan. The winter season has slowed down the Taliban offensive during recent months in the north of Afghanistan. However, some observers think that the Afghan National Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF) should press home the fight before the spring offensive begins by the Taliban. Read more in "The Winter Storms of Northern Afghanistan", Radio Free Europe, February 14, 2016.
Taliban Fighting in Ghazni. The Nawa district is seeing some fighting between different Taliban factions (Mullah Mansoor vs. Mullah Mohammad Rasool). There also seems to be some discontent among Taliban groups in Paktika province as well. Read "Deadly clashes erupting between rival Taliban groups in Ghazni", Khaama Press, February 16, 2016.
Scores Killed in Helmand. The fighting in Helmand province goes on. The districts of Sangin and Marjah are heavily contested - and we are just talking about the district government compound; not the outlying areas of the district away from the district center - those areas being under the control of the Taliban. There is concern among observers that the provincial capital may be threatened. Read more in "Dozens of Afghan soldiers and police killed in Helmand", Reuters, February 16, 2016.
Ghost Soldiers. One of the persistent problems of the ANDSF is the "Ghost" soldier or policeman. The salaries are being paid but they are not present for duty since they 1) don't report to work, 2) don't exist, 3) have been killed, 4) etc., etc., and etc. Read more in "Pentagon scrambles to account for Afghan 'ghost' troops", Military Times, February 16, 2016.
Bergdahl Trade. Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates says that the U.S. may have paid too heavy a price for the deserter. (Business Insider, Feb 18, 2016).
ANDSF Completes Anti-ISIS Opn. In this 30-second long video we learn that the Afghan National Defense and Security Forces have completed an anti-ISIS operation in Achin district, Nangarhar province. (Radio Free Europe, Feb 15, 2016). In addition, the U.S. is bombing ISIS and the Taliban are also fighting ISIS. Hmmmm.
Swedish-run Med Clinic Attacked. The Swedish Committee for Afghanistan (SCA) says that the ANDSF conducted a raid on its health clinic in Wardak province in the village of Tangi Saidan. The village is reported to be under the control of the Taliban. Government sources say three Taliban fighters in the clinic were killed. Read more in "Afghanistan: Three killed in raid on Swedish-run clinic", BBC News, February 18, 2015.
ICRC Workers Kidnapped. Five aid workers belonging to the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) were kidnapped and then released in southeastern Ghazni province. The ICRC has been operating in Afghanistan since 1987. (Khaama Press, Feb 19, 2016.)
Power Restored? Kabul has experienced an electrical power shortage due to transmission lines north of the city being interdicted by the Taliban. It appears that, after one month, the lights will soon come back on in the big city.
AAF Needs More Support. The National Security Advisor for Afghanistan, Mohammad Hanif Atmar, says that the Afghan Air Force needs more support from the United States. (Khamma Press, Feb 16, 2016).
AAF and CIVCAS. One news report indicates that civilian casualties caused by the Afghan Air Force is rising. See "The U.S.-funded Afghan air force is growing. So are civilian casualties it causes", The Washington Post, February 17, 2016.
BG Hicks to NATO Air Training Command - Afghanistan. BG David Hicks is heading to Afghanistan. See "Five officers to change roles, Air Force announces", Air Force Times, February 19, 2016.
About that MoD HQs Building. The Special Inspector General for the Reconstruction of Afghanistan (SIGAR) never seems to run out of bad news to report to the U.S. Congress on how badly things are going in Afghanistan. One of their latest reports tells us of the waste of money and construction problems associated with the new MoD headquarters building in Kabul. Read more in the SIGAR report dated February, 2016.
Drones for ANA. The Afghan army will receive their first unmanned aircraft in March according to a U.S. official. The U.S. will provide the remotely piloted ScanEagle and train up Afghan soldiers to operate the system. Afghans are currently being trained in the United States. A training period of three years will also take place in Afghanistan for about three years. Some of the initial training will take place in the northern city of Mazar-e Sharif. The ANA will receive 8 systems with each system having six drones. (Reuters, Feb 18, 2016).
Poor ANDSF Leadership. "General John Campbell, the outgoing commander of Resolute support Mission and U.S. forces in Afghanistan, has said that poor leadership within the ranks of the Afghan security forces is their biggest hurdle and called on the country's leaders to bring reforms". Read more in a news report - "Poor Leadership A Major Issue for Afghan Troops: Campbell", Tolo News, February 13, 2016.
Taliban Fighting in Ghazni. The Nawa district is seeing some fighting between different Taliban factions (Mullah Mansoor vs. Mullah Mohammad Rasool). There also seems to be some discontent among Taliban groups in Paktika province as well. Read "Deadly clashes erupting between rival Taliban groups in Ghazni", Khaama Press, February 16, 2016.
Scores Killed in Helmand. The fighting in Helmand province goes on. The districts of Sangin and Marjah are heavily contested - and we are just talking about the district government compound; not the outlying areas of the district away from the district center - those areas being under the control of the Taliban. There is concern among observers that the provincial capital may be threatened. Read more in "Dozens of Afghan soldiers and police killed in Helmand", Reuters, February 16, 2016.
Ghost Soldiers. One of the persistent problems of the ANDSF is the "Ghost" soldier or policeman. The salaries are being paid but they are not present for duty since they 1) don't report to work, 2) don't exist, 3) have been killed, 4) etc., etc., and etc. Read more in "Pentagon scrambles to account for Afghan 'ghost' troops", Military Times, February 16, 2016.
Bergdahl Trade. Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates says that the U.S. may have paid too heavy a price for the deserter. (Business Insider, Feb 18, 2016).
ANDSF Completes Anti-ISIS Opn. In this 30-second long video we learn that the Afghan National Defense and Security Forces have completed an anti-ISIS operation in Achin district, Nangarhar province. (Radio Free Europe, Feb 15, 2016). In addition, the U.S. is bombing ISIS and the Taliban are also fighting ISIS. Hmmmm.
Swedish-run Med Clinic Attacked. The Swedish Committee for Afghanistan (SCA) says that the ANDSF conducted a raid on its health clinic in Wardak province in the village of Tangi Saidan. The village is reported to be under the control of the Taliban. Government sources say three Taliban fighters in the clinic were killed. Read more in "Afghanistan: Three killed in raid on Swedish-run clinic", BBC News, February 18, 2015.
ICRC Workers Kidnapped. Five aid workers belonging to the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) were kidnapped and then released in southeastern Ghazni province. The ICRC has been operating in Afghanistan since 1987. (Khaama Press, Feb 19, 2016.)
Power Restored? Kabul has experienced an electrical power shortage due to transmission lines north of the city being interdicted by the Taliban. It appears that, after one month, the lights will soon come back on in the big city.
AAF Needs More Support. The National Security Advisor for Afghanistan, Mohammad Hanif Atmar, says that the Afghan Air Force needs more support from the United States. (Khamma Press, Feb 16, 2016).
AAF and CIVCAS. One news report indicates that civilian casualties caused by the Afghan Air Force is rising. See "The U.S.-funded Afghan air force is growing. So are civilian casualties it causes", The Washington Post, February 17, 2016.
BG Hicks to NATO Air Training Command - Afghanistan. BG David Hicks is heading to Afghanistan. See "Five officers to change roles, Air Force announces", Air Force Times, February 19, 2016.
About that MoD HQs Building. The Special Inspector General for the Reconstruction of Afghanistan (SIGAR) never seems to run out of bad news to report to the U.S. Congress on how badly things are going in Afghanistan. One of their latest reports tells us of the waste of money and construction problems associated with the new MoD headquarters building in Kabul. Read more in the SIGAR report dated February, 2016.
Drones for ANA. The Afghan army will receive their first unmanned aircraft in March according to a U.S. official. The U.S. will provide the remotely piloted ScanEagle and train up Afghan soldiers to operate the system. Afghans are currently being trained in the United States. A training period of three years will also take place in Afghanistan for about three years. Some of the initial training will take place in the northern city of Mazar-e Sharif. The ANA will receive 8 systems with each system having six drones. (Reuters, Feb 18, 2016).
Poor ANDSF Leadership. "General John Campbell, the outgoing commander of Resolute support Mission and U.S. forces in Afghanistan, has said that poor leadership within the ranks of the Afghan security forces is their biggest hurdle and called on the country's leaders to bring reforms". Read more in a news report - "Poor Leadership A Major Issue for Afghan Troops: Campbell", Tolo News, February 13, 2016.
Women in Combat
Article - Afghan Women in Conflict. "Popular distortions often applied to women's functions in war can obstruct the peace process." Rosalie Arcala Hall and Julian Smith say that there are several myths about women's roles in conflict and they inform us about them in this article. They look at several international conflicts in their study. "Women in Combat: Both Spoilers and Enablers of Peace", The Diplomat, February 15, 2016. The article is based on a book entitled Women in Conflict and Peace, International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, 2015. Includes case studies from Afghanistan, Myanmar, the Philippines, and Rwanda. The specific chapter (33 pages) on Afghanistan can be read at the following link. www.idea.int/publications/women-in-conflict-and-peace/upload/Women-in-Conflict-and-Peace-afghanistan.pdf
Women and Draft: FAQs. The Selective Service has once again come into the spotlight. The almost forgotten mechanism for inducting men into the military service has not been used since the early 1970s. However, with the recent changes in allowing women to enter the combat arms some are looking to subject women to the draft - should it ever come back. The first step is to require them to sign up with Selective Service. Currently all men must register with the Selective Service within 30 days of turning 18. Read more on the draft and selective service in "Women in combat and the draft: answers to your biggest questions", Military Times, February 16, 2016.
Adapting Physical Testing - Recruiting More Women. It appears that the U.S. Army is going to modify how it physically evaluates candidates for the military to ensure that the right people get to the right jobs. Read more in "Army Looks to Recruit More Women, Adapt Physical Testing", Military.com, February 13, 2016.
"Gender-Neutral Boots & Measures Taken to Mitigate Drop in Recruit Quality. It is a well-known fact that the quality of the manpower pool (should I say womenpower?) provided by American society has dropped significantly in terms of physical fitness. To ensure that recruits can handle the physical demands measures are being taken to screen recruits for their physical condition. In addition, there are other societal aspects being closely looked at that are prompting changes in footgear being provided to new recruits. Read more in "Drop in Recruit Quality: Military Now Required to Issue Basic Trainees Lightweight, Gender-Neutral, "Velcro" Boots", Article 107 News, February 16, 2016.
Women and Draft: FAQs. The Selective Service has once again come into the spotlight. The almost forgotten mechanism for inducting men into the military service has not been used since the early 1970s. However, with the recent changes in allowing women to enter the combat arms some are looking to subject women to the draft - should it ever come back. The first step is to require them to sign up with Selective Service. Currently all men must register with the Selective Service within 30 days of turning 18. Read more on the draft and selective service in "Women in combat and the draft: answers to your biggest questions", Military Times, February 16, 2016.
Adapting Physical Testing - Recruiting More Women. It appears that the U.S. Army is going to modify how it physically evaluates candidates for the military to ensure that the right people get to the right jobs. Read more in "Army Looks to Recruit More Women, Adapt Physical Testing", Military.com, February 13, 2016.
"Gender-Neutral Boots & Measures Taken to Mitigate Drop in Recruit Quality. It is a well-known fact that the quality of the manpower pool (should I say womenpower?) provided by American society has dropped significantly in terms of physical fitness. To ensure that recruits can handle the physical demands measures are being taken to screen recruits for their physical condition. In addition, there are other societal aspects being closely looked at that are prompting changes in footgear being provided to new recruits. Read more in "Drop in Recruit Quality: Military Now Required to Issue Basic Trainees Lightweight, Gender-Neutral, "Velcro" Boots", Article 107 News, February 16, 2016.
Lessons from Afghanistan - TFBSO
RAND Corporation has published a paper entitled Task Force for Business and Stability Operations: Lessons from Afghanistan, 2016. The TFBSO was a multi-year endeavor for the U.S. Department of Defense which sought to use private-sector strategies to create sustainable economies in Iraq and Afghanistan. It has come under a withering attack by the Special Inspector General for the Reconstruction of Afghanistan (SIGAR) yet it also has its supporters. This 139-page report from RAND should provide a good read for those who want to implement private-sector strategies into a conflict-ridden environment. www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1243.html
News Snippets
Social Media and Young Afghans. Younger Afghans are increasingly finding marriage partners online using social media. This method allows them to circumvent the strict segregation of the sexes in this deeply conservative society. Read more in "Afghans skirt strict rules to find love on social media", CNS News.com, February 14, 2016.
Skiing in Afghanistan. Some day, many years from now, people will fly to Afghanistan to ski the mountains. But for now, the skiing opportunities are primarily limited to the central province of Bamyan. However, it is a work intensive sport. No ski lifts. So you trudge up a mountain for almost an hour for a couple of minutes of downhill pleasure. I will pass for now. Hopefully, if peace comes to Afghanistan . . . and if I live long enough . . . I too will ski the slopes of that picturesque country with beautiful mountains. But for now I must be content to watch this 3-minute long video entitled "Ski Afghanistan: A Challenge Unlike Any Other", Radio Free Europe, February 15, 2016.
Poker on Friday Nights. So how do the Resolute Support soldiers sequestered at "Camp Kabul" spend their free time? Evidently some try their hand at the card game of poker. Learn more by reading "Poker in Afghanistan: Strategy and Tactics at the NATO Base in Kabul", Poker News, February 15, 2016. The article also provides insight about life confined to a small base with lots of people.
Afghan Refugees / Migrants. According the the United Nations Refugee Agency (UNHCR) Afghans represent 26% of the Mediterranean sea arrivals to Europe.
http://data.unhcr.org/mediterranean/regional.php
Child Soldiers. According to the Human Rights Watch (HRW) organization the Taliban are training Afghan children in Madrasas to fight and plant IEDs. Read Afghanistan Taliban Child Soldier Recruitment Surges, HRW, February 17, 2016.
Video - ANA's Med Ctr Gardez. Watch a 2-min YouTube video posted by Resolute Support HQs on the ANA's regional medical center located in the 203rd ANA Corps region. Not in English!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=lXiszHz1VP0
Corruption . . . and more Corruption. Transparency International (TI) has release a report about one of Afghanistan's most serious problems - corruption. Read National Integrity System Assessment Afghanistan 2015, February 16, 2016.
FORSCOM CG visits BAF. General Robert Abrams, the commander of Forces Command, visit Bagram Air Field. Read more in a news release by DVIDS, February 12, 2016.
Bergdahl Probe. The Justice Department is considering whether to review allegations that the U.S. paid for SGT Beau Bergdahl's freedom and what the role the FBI played in his release. Read more in "Justice Department May Probe Alleged Bergdahl Ransom Payment", The Daily Beast, February 19, 2016.
Afghan Journalists Fleeing to Europe. So the people that report the news in Afghanistan have been making their way to Europe. Some are paying big money to make that dangerous trip. Many do it for economic reasons but some are in fear for their lives - as a result of their reporting corruption in Afghan society. Read more in "Hundreds of Afghan Journalists Have Fled to Europe", Gandhara Blog, February 18, 2016.
Afghan Interpreters - State Dept Folly. A recent rule change by the U.S. Department of State has left over 3,000 Afghan interpreters stranded in Afghanistan. These faithful interpreters who served the U.S. military in Afghanistan have already submitted their requests for U.S. visas so they can escape retaliation by the Taliban. However, the State Dept is once again doing everything they can to ensure they can't flee a dangerous situation. Read more in "Rule Change Dashes Hope for Afghan Military Allies Seeking Refuge in U.S.", Free Beacon, February 16, 2016.
Federal Court Rules on Afghan Interpreters. A federal district court in Washington, D.C. has ruled in favor of Iraqi and Afghan interpreters who are suing the U.S. Government over failure to act on visa applications. The decision reaffirms the government's obligations to thousands of U.S. allies trapped in life-threatening circumstances as a result of their service to the U.S. military in Iraq and Afghanistan. Read more in a news release by the Urban Justice Center (Feb 16, 2016).
Another Afghan War Film. As is the case with many conflicts as they start to wind down Hollywood begins to crank the movie machine up. There are good, bad, funny, sad, accurate, and inaccurate movies about almost every conflict the U.S. has been in. We are now starting to see an increase in the frequency of films being released about the Afghan War (or so it seems to me). Just last week I reviewed a Danish film about Afghanistan - see movie review of A War. A new film soon to be released is about an Afghan interpreter. These folks are the unsung heroes of the Afghan War - without them the U.S. military was very ineffective. Read more about the new film in "Why a US Army Vet Cast a Muslim-American Woman to Lead His Afghan War Movie", Defense One, February 15, 2016.
Soviet Union Departure - Anniversary. February 15th was the 27th anniversary of the exit of the former USSR Red Army from Afghanistan.
Contribute Your Knowledge of Afghanistan
The Afghan War News Blog and the Afghan War News website is constantly striving to keep its blog, weekly newsletter, and website factual, current, and relevant. If you have a link to a website or document you feel should be shared with the greater community then please send it to us. In addition, we are looking for individuals with knowledge, experience, and expertise in Afghanistan on a wide range of topics (culture, security, development, governance, politics, etc.) to contribute blog posts and articles to our blog and add content to our website. Frequency of submission is up to you. If you wrote a paper on a relevant topic and would like to share it send it to us for posting on the blog and / or the website. If I missed an important story about Afghanistan - please let me know. Send the link! And naturally, if you see errors, outdated information, or broken links please let us know.
staff@afghanwarnews.info
staff@afghanwarnews.info
Weekly Newsletter Signup - Easy to Do!
You can receive the Afghan War Blog Weekly Newsletter by email. It should arrive in your e-mail inbox at 0500 U.S. East coast time or just after lunch (1330) in Kabul every Sunday. It is easy to subscribe. To submit your subscription request go to www.afghanwarnews.blogspot.com and enter your email in the "Follow by Email" dialogue box at the top of the right hand column. The only info needed is your email. No personal data, no forms to fill out, and no passwords needed. You will receive a confirmation email asking you if you want to subscribe. Just confirm and you are done. It is also easy to unsubscribe. At the bottom of the newsletter click "unsubscribe" and you will be automatically unsubscribed.
Sunday, February 14, 2016
Afghan War Blog Weekly Newsletter - Feb 14, 2016
Welcome to the Afghan War Blog Weekly Newsletter. Articles are posted online on the blog and sent out via email newsletter on Sunday morning. We welcome comments, ideas for stories, contributions, and guest writers! Visit our website at www.afghanwarnews.info, follow us on Twitter at @AfghanWarBlog, and on LinkedIn at www.linkedin.com/in/afghan-war-news.
Movie Review - "A War"
I recently had the opportunity to watch the movie entitled - A War. This Danish film about the troops of Denmark deployed to the volatile Helmand province is realistic, emotional, and riveting. The movie presents the issues combat leaders face when charged with protecting the Afghan population, defeating the insurgents, and ensuring that their troops return safe from the battlefield. In addition, the movie shows the problems experienced by the parent left at the home front - caring for children missing their Dad, worries about their spouse in the war zone, and problems of adapting to life without the second parent in the home. The film explores the morality of war as well; providing us insight as about split-second decisions that combat leaders make in the heat of combat that have ramifications down the road. Read my review of this movie at the link below.
www.afghanwarnews.info/movies/a-war.htm
"Expeditionary Advising" and 215th Corps
The Blue Areas are where TAACs are Located
Expeditionary Advising the 215th ANA Corps - Not so Much! A couple of years ago the United States rapidly drew down the force levels in Afghanistan. Keeping below a troop level of 9,800 required the closure of a large number of bases and a restructuring of the mission. It was decided to keep a small counterterrorism force, some enablers & support units (drones, intelligence, logistics, air support, etc.), and to maintain an advisory capacity at the ministry, institutional, and corps levels. However, not all the Afghan National Army corps were covered by full-time, permanent advisors co-located at or near the corps headquarters. The 203rd and 215th Corps were advised by an expeditionary package - called "Advise and Assist Cells" that operated out of Kabul. While this may have been effective for the 203rd Corps responsible for seven provinces east and south of Kabul it was probably less effective for the 215th Corps in southwest Afghanistan (Helmand and Nimroz provinces). History will probably judge that this attempt at "Level 2" or expeditionary advising was not as effective as hoped; at least not for the ANA and ANP in Helmand province. Recent news reports now indicate that a large contingent of advisors are to be deployed in Helmand province to assist the 215th Corps. Read more in "U.S. troop reinforcements head for embattled southern Afghan province", Reuters, February 9, 2016.
SFA Planners Guide. For those heading out on an advisory mission there are a wealth of documents to read. One of the better ones for learning Security Force Assistance (SFA) is the Security Force Assistance Planners Guide by the Joint Center for International Security Assistance (JCISFA) at Fort Leavenworth which was just updated in January 2016.
www.afghanwarnews.info/documents/JCISFA-SFA-Planners-Guide15Jan2016-CDR-1543.pdf
SFA Planners Guide. For those heading out on an advisory mission there are a wealth of documents to read. One of the better ones for learning Security Force Assistance (SFA) is the Security Force Assistance Planners Guide by the Joint Center for International Security Assistance (JCISFA) at Fort Leavenworth which was just updated in January 2016.
www.afghanwarnews.info/documents/JCISFA-SFA-Planners-Guide15Jan2016-CDR-1543.pdf
Commentary
Unworthy Ally. C.Christine Fair says it is time to cut Pakistan loose in "An Unworthy Ally", Foreign Affairs, February 12, 2016.
Durand Line, India, and Pakistan. One commentator says there are two outstanding issues the stand in the way of peace in Afghanistan. Afghanistan's recognition of the Durand Line and India - Pakistan relations. Until those are resolved, Pakistan will continue to support the Afghan Taliban. Read more in "A Solution to the Afghanistan-Taliban Conflict?", The World Post, February 11, 2016.
CSIS Report on Afghanistan. Anthony Cordesman provides us with an updated report containing his astute analysis of the security situation in Afghanistan. Read "Afghanistan: The Uncertain Impact of a Year of Transition", Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS), February 11, 2016.
Germany and Afghanistan. Dr. Gale A. Mattox, Director of the AICGS's Foreign & Domestic Policy Program and a Professor of Political Science at the U.S. Naval Academy examines Germany's role in post-2014 Afghanistan and offers recommendations for continued engagement. Read Afghanistan: A Difficult Year Ahead, American Institute for Contemporary German Studies (AICGS), February 10, 2016.
Stay the Course. Gary Anderson, a retired Marine colonel and former member of the Defense Adaptive Red Team, says we should maintain our status quo in Afghanistan until the next president takes office and sets the agenda for the future. Read "In Afghanistan, how about trying this?: Don't just do something, stand there", Best Defense Blog of Foreign Policy, February 11, 2016.
Stay the Course (Part II). Claude Rakisists, a senior fellow at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service, says we need to maintain a military presence in Afghanistan until it can fully defend itself - something that might not be achievable until 2024. (Way past my retirement age - I'm out!). Read "Letter from Washington: Afghanistan and the changing of the American guard", The Strategist, Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), February 11, 2016.
Unpaid Debt to Interpreters. Just when you thought the State Department had turned the corner on the abhorrent treatment towards Afghan interpreters you find that they are up to their same dirty tricks once again. Read more in "An Unpaid Debt to Afghan Interpreters", The New York Times, February 4, 2016.
Military Career Management. One writer, Colin Griffin - a field artillery officer, writes that the military could do a much better job in assigning newly-minted officers in their career field. I totally agree. Read more in "Who's Out of Control?", Small Wars Journal, February 6, 2016.
HTS Analysis. Christopher Sims writes about the life and death of the Human Terrain System (HTS) in "Academics in Foxholes", Foreign Affairs, February 4, 2016.
Population-Centric COIN. Afghanistan has been fighting an insurgency since 2002 when the Taliban regrouped after being toppled from power. As in most insurgencies the Afghan conflict is lasting a long time. There are different ways to conduct counterinsurgency and military commentators attempt to classify the different methods. One is population-centric counterinsurgency. General McCrystral, then ISAF commander, introduced this type of COIN to Afghanistan in 2009. The author of this paper examines certain conditions that affect the likelihood of success for a population-centric approach to counterinsurgency. Read more in "On Winning Hearts and Minds: Key Conditions for Population-Centric COIN", by Gregory D. Miller, Small Wars Journal, February 8, 2016.
Future of Army - Missed Opportunities. Nadia Schadlow thinks that the National Commission on the Future of the Army missed out on some key observations. Some of these include pulling its punches on end strength needs, lack of content on stability operations (key to the ability to close out a COIN war and consolidate combat gains), less than robust attention on modernization needs, need for forces in Europe, and an inability of the Obama administration to identify threats by name (movement vs. organizations). Schadlow is a senior program officer at the Smith Richardson Foundation who writes on defense and foreign-policy related issues. Read "Squeezing Water From a Stone: Five Missed Opportunities in Planning the Future of the U.S. Army", War on the Rocks, February 8, 2016.
Security News
What is Close Air Support? A recent article tells us what CAS is. Read "What Close Air Support Is . . . And Isn't!", Fighter Sweep.com, February 10, 2016. Learn more about CAS in Afghanistan.
US Airpower Used in January 2016 in Afghanistan. In January 2016 there were 128 weapon drops by US aircraft in Afghanistan; the most for January in two years. In Iraq and Syria there were 2,695 weapons drops by US aircraft. So where is the priority? Once again Afghanistan takes a back seat. Read "Comparing Afghanistan and Iraq/Syria", Air Force Times, February 10, 2016. See also a related news story entitled "With fewer U.S. troops in Afghanistan, pressure grows for more air strikes", Reuters, February 10, 2016.
Video - AAF. On February 11th President Ghani attended a showing of the Afghan Air Force (AAF) aircraft at Kabul airport. Resolute Support Hqs provides a one-minute long video showcasing the various aircraft posted on YouTube. Watch A Show of Strength by the Afghan National Airforce, February 12, 2016. www.youtube.com/watch?v=XrhOQfWL9n0
Predators of Jalalabad. Read about the 62nd Expeditionary Reconnaissance Squadron Detachment 1's mission in Afghanistan in "Jalalabad Predators provide 24/7 overwatch in Afghanistan", Khaama Press, February 8, 2016.
Shoffner on ANDSF. BG Wilson Shoffner, the deputy chief of staff for communications for NATO's Resolute Support Mission, briefed reporters via video conference from Afghanistan on Feb 11, 2016. He said that Afghan forces need to develop four capabilities to be successful - develop a readiness cycle, reduce the number of checkpoints, make leadership changes, and fill their ranks.
No big news here with this video / transcript from the General. The Afghans still have difficulties in planning tactical operations; never mind develop a readiness cycle. We taught them long ago to set up check points - big mistake on our part and a hard lesson to unlearn - because it is easier to set up a checkpoint (and collect "taxes" on civilian road traffic) than it is to take to the hills and chase the bad guys. We have known for years about the leadership problems in the Afghan police and army but we don't use our leverage (our money) to get the ministries to fire incompetent and corrupt Afghan leaders at district, provincial, kandak, brigade, corps, and national level. The filling of the ranks has always been a problem - "ghost soldiers" (and policemen) will continue to be a problem when you have bad leadership - and desertions will continue to plague both the police and army as long as units in the remote areas are not supported by their leadership, live under terrible living conditions, are exposed to constant combat, don't receive pay, and are continually outclassed on the battlefield by the Taleban. So, once again, no big news here.
You can read the transcript or watch the video by Defense.gov.
Video - Testimony on ANDSF. On February 12, 2016 Defense Department officials testified at a hearing on capital hill before the House Armed Services Committee on Oversight and Investigations of the status of U.S. efforts to train and assist the Afghan National Security forces. Hosted by C-SPAN, 2 plus hours).
http://www.c-span.org/video/?404635-1/hearing-afghan-security-forces
"Work in Progress . . . " On February 12th DoD witnesses testified to a U.S. House committee on Afghanistan. A DoD News Release provides some details of the testimony. Read "DoD Officials Describe Afghan National Defense Forces As Work in Progress", DoD, February 12, 2016.
Five Challenges Seen by SIGAR. The Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction recently testified before the House Armed Services Committee on February 12th: 1) Drawdown of troops have impaired the ability of the U.S. to advise and mentor the ANDSF, 2) reported strength of ANDSF is questionable, 3) assessments of ANDSF capabilities and effectiveness never effective and now getting worse, 4) lack of capability to monitor Afghan govt (MoI / MoD) use of on-budget funds, 5) and is the U.S. conducting oversight of management of U.S. funds to develop the ANDSF. You can read the prepared comments at the following link:
www.sigar.mil/pdf/testimony/SIGAR-16-17-TY.pdf
New Pub. DoDD 5205.82, Defense Institution Building (DIB), Department of Defense Directive, January 27, 2016. Establishes policy, assigns responsibilities, and provides direction regarding the planning, managment, and conduct of DIB by DoD; and establishes the DIB Coordination Board. Probably a good reference for those advisors working at MoI and MoD at the ministerial level.
www.dtic.mil/whs/directives/corres/pdf/520582p.pdf
Fighting in Sangin District . . . Again. Reports indicate that Sangin district located in the southern province of Helmand, Afghanistan is at risk of falling once again this year to the Taliban. Read more in "Sangin on verge of falling back into Afghan Taliban hands", BBC News, February 7, 2016. See also "Taliban are close to overrunning Sangin where 106 British soldiers died", The Telegraph, February 8, 2016. Some Afghan news outlets say that five security force members were killed on Saturday, Feb 13th.
Kunduz Residents Fearful. Last fall the Taliban managed to infiltrate Kunduz city and, for a short time, occupy the provincial capital. The residents of the city are worried about a Taliban return. Read more in "Kunduz Residents Live in Fear of Taliban's Return", The New York Times, February 6, 2016.
Tarin Kowt at Risk. It appears that the Afghan insurgents are getting the upper hand in many districts around the former Australian military base in Tarin Kowt. Australia forces completed their withdrawal from the Uruzgan province at the end of 2013. Insurgents have increased their freedom of movement and generally contain the ANDSF to their bases and checkpoints. With the lack of intelligence assets (ISR) and air support previously provided by the Coalition forces they Taliban now realize they can move around the terrain with impunity. Read more in "Afghan insurgents gaining control of territory around former Australian base in Tarin Kowt", ABC News (Australia), February 10, 2016.
Baghlan Province - Heavy Fighting. News reports indicate that there was heavy fighting between the ANDSF and the Taliban in central Baghlan. Residents say that the ANDSF are indescriminately shelling Pashtun homess.
Former PGov Kidnapped. Sayed Fazlullah Wahidi, the former governor for western Herat province of Afghanistan, was kidnapped in Islamabad. (ATN News, Feb 13, 2016).
US Embassy Warning. On February 9th the US Embassy in Kabul warned its citizens in Afghanistan that insurgents were planning to attack foreign guest houses in the capital city of Kabul. (Voice of America, Feb 9, 2016).
Zonal Chiefs of Police Get More Power. According to one news report the zonal police commanders will enjoy new powers. This news came during a ceremony for the newly-appointed 707 Pamir Zone police commander in Mazar-i Shariff in northern Afghanistan. The intent is to ensure increased coordination among the various security pillars in each of the country's regions. Read more in a news report by Pajhwok Afghan News, Feb 10, 2016.
Insider Threat Incident? An Afghan police officer was killed, in what might be a case of an insider attack, after firing on coalition troops near the main entrance of the Ministry of Commerce and Industries in Kabul on Tuesday. The NATO force soldiers returned fire, wounding the gunman, who later died in a hospital. (Reuters, February 10, 2016).
Uigher Militancy - Just Next Door. Although they share a very small border (the Wakhan Corridor) the countries of Afghanistan and China share a common problem. One of insurgents. China is facing an Uighur insurgency. Read more in "Growing Uighur Militancy: Challenges for China", Eurasia Review, February 5, 2016. The Wakhan Corridor is an isolated part of Afghanistan - read more here in "What Life is Like in the Most Isolated Corridor of the World", Conde Nast Traveler, February , 2016.
Royal Gurkha Rifles to Afghanistan. The Gurkhas from 2nd Battalion are heading to Kabul, Afghanistan as part of the UK's enduring support to the Afghan government. Their mission is to protect NATO military and civilian advisors working in government ministries, as well as UK advisors based at the Afghan National Army Officer's Academy. Read "Gurkhas Prepare for Afghan Deployment", Forces TV, February 11, 2016.
Electricity - New Tactic? A shortage of electricity is the result of insurgent activity - blowing up the pylon towers that hold the transmission lines providing electricity to Kabul and other areas of Afghanistan. Read more in "More Afghan Electricity Towers Destroyed, Raising Fears of New Battle Tactic", Radio Free Europe, February 11, 2016.
Suicide Attack on ANA Bus MeS. Three Afghan soldiers died and many more were wounded after a suicide bomber attacked a bus carrying members of the Afghan National Army in Mazar-e Sharif in northern Afghanistan on Monday, Feb 8th. Read "Deadly Suicide Blast Hits Afghan Army Bus", Voice of America, February 8, 2016.
Senior Taliban Leader Dies. Mullah Rahmani, a senior member of the Taliban leadership council, has died according to a Taliban announcement on Tuesday morning. (Tolo News, Feb 9, 2016).
Dynamics of Taliban Succession. Thomas Ruttig of the Afghanistan Analysts Network (AAN) examines what may happen when the Taliban leadership changes out. Read "The New Taleban Deputy Leaders: Is there an obvious successor to Akhtar Mansur?", AAN, February 10, 2016.
Taliban's Intel Chief Kidnapped. News reports say that the Taliban's intelligence chief and deputy was kidnapped in Quetta, Pakistan in separate incidents . (Pajhwok Afghan News, Feb 7, 2016).
US Airpower Used in January 2016 in Afghanistan. In January 2016 there were 128 weapon drops by US aircraft in Afghanistan; the most for January in two years. In Iraq and Syria there were 2,695 weapons drops by US aircraft. So where is the priority? Once again Afghanistan takes a back seat. Read "Comparing Afghanistan and Iraq/Syria", Air Force Times, February 10, 2016. See also a related news story entitled "With fewer U.S. troops in Afghanistan, pressure grows for more air strikes", Reuters, February 10, 2016.
Video - AAF. On February 11th President Ghani attended a showing of the Afghan Air Force (AAF) aircraft at Kabul airport. Resolute Support Hqs provides a one-minute long video showcasing the various aircraft posted on YouTube. Watch A Show of Strength by the Afghan National Airforce, February 12, 2016. www.youtube.com/watch?v=XrhOQfWL9n0
Predators of Jalalabad. Read about the 62nd Expeditionary Reconnaissance Squadron Detachment 1's mission in Afghanistan in "Jalalabad Predators provide 24/7 overwatch in Afghanistan", Khaama Press, February 8, 2016.
Shoffner on ANDSF. BG Wilson Shoffner, the deputy chief of staff for communications for NATO's Resolute Support Mission, briefed reporters via video conference from Afghanistan on Feb 11, 2016. He said that Afghan forces need to develop four capabilities to be successful - develop a readiness cycle, reduce the number of checkpoints, make leadership changes, and fill their ranks.
No big news here with this video / transcript from the General. The Afghans still have difficulties in planning tactical operations; never mind develop a readiness cycle. We taught them long ago to set up check points - big mistake on our part and a hard lesson to unlearn - because it is easier to set up a checkpoint (and collect "taxes" on civilian road traffic) than it is to take to the hills and chase the bad guys. We have known for years about the leadership problems in the Afghan police and army but we don't use our leverage (our money) to get the ministries to fire incompetent and corrupt Afghan leaders at district, provincial, kandak, brigade, corps, and national level. The filling of the ranks has always been a problem - "ghost soldiers" (and policemen) will continue to be a problem when you have bad leadership - and desertions will continue to plague both the police and army as long as units in the remote areas are not supported by their leadership, live under terrible living conditions, are exposed to constant combat, don't receive pay, and are continually outclassed on the battlefield by the Taleban. So, once again, no big news here.
You can read the transcript or watch the video by Defense.gov.
Video - Testimony on ANDSF. On February 12, 2016 Defense Department officials testified at a hearing on capital hill before the House Armed Services Committee on Oversight and Investigations of the status of U.S. efforts to train and assist the Afghan National Security forces. Hosted by C-SPAN, 2 plus hours).
http://www.c-span.org/video/?404635-1/hearing-afghan-security-forces
"Work in Progress . . . " On February 12th DoD witnesses testified to a U.S. House committee on Afghanistan. A DoD News Release provides some details of the testimony. Read "DoD Officials Describe Afghan National Defense Forces As Work in Progress", DoD, February 12, 2016.
Five Challenges Seen by SIGAR. The Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction recently testified before the House Armed Services Committee on February 12th: 1) Drawdown of troops have impaired the ability of the U.S. to advise and mentor the ANDSF, 2) reported strength of ANDSF is questionable, 3) assessments of ANDSF capabilities and effectiveness never effective and now getting worse, 4) lack of capability to monitor Afghan govt (MoI / MoD) use of on-budget funds, 5) and is the U.S. conducting oversight of management of U.S. funds to develop the ANDSF. You can read the prepared comments at the following link:
www.sigar.mil/pdf/testimony/SIGAR-16-17-TY.pdf
New Pub. DoDD 5205.82, Defense Institution Building (DIB), Department of Defense Directive, January 27, 2016. Establishes policy, assigns responsibilities, and provides direction regarding the planning, managment, and conduct of DIB by DoD; and establishes the DIB Coordination Board. Probably a good reference for those advisors working at MoI and MoD at the ministerial level.
www.dtic.mil/whs/directives/corres/pdf/520582p.pdf
Fighting in Sangin District . . . Again. Reports indicate that Sangin district located in the southern province of Helmand, Afghanistan is at risk of falling once again this year to the Taliban. Read more in "Sangin on verge of falling back into Afghan Taliban hands", BBC News, February 7, 2016. See also "Taliban are close to overrunning Sangin where 106 British soldiers died", The Telegraph, February 8, 2016. Some Afghan news outlets say that five security force members were killed on Saturday, Feb 13th.
Kunduz Residents Fearful. Last fall the Taliban managed to infiltrate Kunduz city and, for a short time, occupy the provincial capital. The residents of the city are worried about a Taliban return. Read more in "Kunduz Residents Live in Fear of Taliban's Return", The New York Times, February 6, 2016.
Baghlan Province - Heavy Fighting. News reports indicate that there was heavy fighting between the ANDSF and the Taliban in central Baghlan. Residents say that the ANDSF are indescriminately shelling Pashtun homess.
Former PGov Kidnapped. Sayed Fazlullah Wahidi, the former governor for western Herat province of Afghanistan, was kidnapped in Islamabad. (ATN News, Feb 13, 2016).
US Embassy Warning. On February 9th the US Embassy in Kabul warned its citizens in Afghanistan that insurgents were planning to attack foreign guest houses in the capital city of Kabul. (Voice of America, Feb 9, 2016).
Zonal Chiefs of Police Get More Power. According to one news report the zonal police commanders will enjoy new powers. This news came during a ceremony for the newly-appointed 707 Pamir Zone police commander in Mazar-i Shariff in northern Afghanistan. The intent is to ensure increased coordination among the various security pillars in each of the country's regions. Read more in a news report by Pajhwok Afghan News, Feb 10, 2016.
Insider Threat Incident? An Afghan police officer was killed, in what might be a case of an insider attack, after firing on coalition troops near the main entrance of the Ministry of Commerce and Industries in Kabul on Tuesday. The NATO force soldiers returned fire, wounding the gunman, who later died in a hospital. (Reuters, February 10, 2016).
Uigher Militancy - Just Next Door. Although they share a very small border (the Wakhan Corridor) the countries of Afghanistan and China share a common problem. One of insurgents. China is facing an Uighur insurgency. Read more in "Growing Uighur Militancy: Challenges for China", Eurasia Review, February 5, 2016. The Wakhan Corridor is an isolated part of Afghanistan - read more here in "What Life is Like in the Most Isolated Corridor of the World", Conde Nast Traveler, February , 2016.
Royal Gurkha Rifles to Afghanistan. The Gurkhas from 2nd Battalion are heading to Kabul, Afghanistan as part of the UK's enduring support to the Afghan government. Their mission is to protect NATO military and civilian advisors working in government ministries, as well as UK advisors based at the Afghan National Army Officer's Academy. Read "Gurkhas Prepare for Afghan Deployment", Forces TV, February 11, 2016.
Electricity - New Tactic? A shortage of electricity is the result of insurgent activity - blowing up the pylon towers that hold the transmission lines providing electricity to Kabul and other areas of Afghanistan. Read more in "More Afghan Electricity Towers Destroyed, Raising Fears of New Battle Tactic", Radio Free Europe, February 11, 2016.
Suicide Attack on ANA Bus MeS. Three Afghan soldiers died and many more were wounded after a suicide bomber attacked a bus carrying members of the Afghan National Army in Mazar-e Sharif in northern Afghanistan on Monday, Feb 8th. Read "Deadly Suicide Blast Hits Afghan Army Bus", Voice of America, February 8, 2016.
Senior Taliban Leader Dies. Mullah Rahmani, a senior member of the Taliban leadership council, has died according to a Taliban announcement on Tuesday morning. (Tolo News, Feb 9, 2016).
Dynamics of Taliban Succession. Thomas Ruttig of the Afghanistan Analysts Network (AAN) examines what may happen when the Taliban leadership changes out. Read "The New Taleban Deputy Leaders: Is there an obvious successor to Akhtar Mansur?", AAN, February 10, 2016.
Taliban's Intel Chief Kidnapped. News reports say that the Taliban's intelligence chief and deputy was kidnapped in Quetta, Pakistan in separate incidents . (Pajhwok Afghan News, Feb 7, 2016).
Peace Talks
Intel Chief Not Thinking Peace. "The latest U.S. intelligence assessment is skeptical about prospects for political reconciliation in war-torn Afghanistan and has warned it is at serious risk of political breakdown during 2016." Read more in "US Intel Chief Skeptical About Afghan Reconciliation", Voice of America, February 10, 2016.
Peace . . . So Far Away. Chayanika Saxena writes about the prospects of peace and the fact that it seems to be unobtainable due to the stance of some of the members of the National Unity Government (NUG) and various Taliban factions. Read more in "Despite parleys, peace for ordinary Afghans seems so far away", South Asia Monitor, February 5, 2016.
Peace . . . So Far Away. Chayanika Saxena writes about the prospects of peace and the fact that it seems to be unobtainable due to the stance of some of the members of the National Unity Government (NUG) and various Taliban factions. Read more in "Despite parleys, peace for ordinary Afghans seems so far away", South Asia Monitor, February 5, 2016.
Information Operations
State Dept, IO, and ISIS. West Point students are now part of the information operations campaign against ISIS. Cadets are now ". . . trying to lure would-be-jihadists into conversations about radical Islam on the Internet." This is all part of an attempt by the Department of State and West Point's Combating Terrorism Center (CTC) to fight terror. Read more in "Marketing Against ISIS: US State Department Enlists Students to Fight Terror", Vice News, February 8, 2016.
Taliban's Msg on ISIS. The Taliban have been good at the social media game - quickly hitting social media with its messaging and smoking the U.S. and NATO's ability to manage the media fight (other than using TV and print in the urban areas). Now the Taliban wants you (U.S. citizens) to know that the U.S. government is using the "ISIS in Afghanistan" scare to keep troops in the country. Read more in "Here's What the Taliban Wants America to Think about ISIS in Afghanistan", The World Post, February 10, 2016.
Twitter Counters ISIS. The social media giant says it is increasing efforts to combat extremism on its site. Read "Twitter Steps Up Efforts to Combat ISIS", Defense One, February 5, 2016.
Taliban's Msg on ISIS. The Taliban have been good at the social media game - quickly hitting social media with its messaging and smoking the U.S. and NATO's ability to manage the media fight (other than using TV and print in the urban areas). Now the Taliban wants you (U.S. citizens) to know that the U.S. government is using the "ISIS in Afghanistan" scare to keep troops in the country. Read more in "Here's What the Taliban Wants America to Think about ISIS in Afghanistan", The World Post, February 10, 2016.
Twitter Counters ISIS. The social media giant says it is increasing efforts to combat extremism on its site. Read "Twitter Steps Up Efforts to Combat ISIS", Defense One, February 5, 2016.
Islamic State in Afghanistan
Fighters Against ISIS. The world's attention is captured by the Islamic State's brutality and ability to carry out attacks through its fighters and surrogates around the world - as evidenced by the recent attacks in Indonesia, Libya, Paris and elsewhere. And of course, there is the huge presence of ISIS in Iraq and Syria. However, those that fight against ISIS also travel the globe in the fight against this (and other) terrorist group. Some do so in their capacity with the military (those of the U.S., Britain, France, Australian, Finland, and many other countries) while others do this in a private capacity. One example is Kat Argo, a female veteran of the U.S. Army who did a stint in Afghanistan, later returned to Kabul in a private capacity, and now can be found working in Northern Iraq with the Kurdish Peshmerga forces. Read more in a news report by The Havok Journal, February 6, 2016. (Note: I had the occasion to work alongside Kat briefly in Afghanistan - a remarkable young woman!).
ISG in Afghanistan. Thomas Ruttig of the Afghanistan Analysts Network (AAN) has published a short paper with an analysis of the "Islamic State Group" (ISG) in Afghanistan. Read "Afghan Taliban contain Islamic State's regional reach", Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, November 17, 2015.
Islamic State in Khorasan. "Daesh has established a foothold in Afghanistan, but its rivalry with the Taliban means its success is far from assured". Read an analysis by Antonio Giustozzi, Associate Fellow at RUSI.org entitled The Islamic State in 'Khorasan': a nuanced view, February 5, 2016.
ISG in Afghanistan. Thomas Ruttig of the Afghanistan Analysts Network (AAN) has published a short paper with an analysis of the "Islamic State Group" (ISG) in Afghanistan. Read "Afghan Taliban contain Islamic State's regional reach", Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, November 17, 2015.
Islamic State in Khorasan. "Daesh has established a foothold in Afghanistan, but its rivalry with the Taliban means its success is far from assured". Read an analysis by Antonio Giustozzi, Associate Fellow at RUSI.org entitled The Islamic State in 'Khorasan': a nuanced view, February 5, 2016.
Governance
MoI Minister Resignation? Rumors continue to circulate that the Ministry of Interior head - Noor ul Haq Uloomi - is going to resign. (Reuters, Feb 6, 2016).NUG in Dispute on Helmand PGov. President Ghani and CEO Abdullah are reportedly at odds in who should be the new governor of Helmand province. This, of course, has been the major stumbling block in the National Unity Government (NUG) - the inability to reach a compromise on who will be provincial governors and lead critical ministries (MoI, MoD, etc.). Of course, the Afghan parliament has been less than helpful in this regard as well. Read "Government leaders dispute appointment of major for Helmand", Khaama Press, February 8, 2016.
USAID's ALBA Program. USAID's Assistance to Legislative Bodies of Afghanistan (ALBA) has been active in building governance capacity in the National Assembly (Parliament) of Afghanistan. However, the achievements have been minimal due in part to a 6-month gap that occurred between the predecessor program (I don't know the name) and the start of ALBA. But also (the minimal achievements) due to systemic issues with the Afghan government. The link below provides a document about ALBA for those interested in governance.
Mid-Term Evaluation (March 2013-June 2015), Assistance to Legislative Bodies of Afghanistan (ALBA), USAID - Afghanistan, June 2015.
Munich. President Ghani recently addressed the Munich Security Conference (MSC) in Germany - as did other state leaders. He thanked NATO and other Coalition nations for their continued support, acknowledged that Afghans have a lot of work to do to get their government running right, and said that the security situation may improve in time. His attendance was overshadowed by the recent events in Syria (a possible pause to the fighting?).
Development and Economy
Lessons Learned - Stability Opns in Afghanistan. Charles Barham, a retired U.S. Army Colonel, continued service to his country by working as a civilian in the Af/Pak Hands Program. He concentrated on development and stability issues and offers his observations in "Stability Operations: Lessons from Afghanistan", Small Wars Journal, February 11, 2016.
Riving the Economy. William Byrd says that ". . . reviving the Afghan economy during a time of intensifying violent conflict, declining external financial aid, and ongoing political uncertainty and dysfunction will be extremely challenging." His report proposes some targeted, near-term measures to increase confidence and stimulate the economy. Read What Can Be Done to Revive Afghanistan's Economy?, United States Institute of Peace (USIP), February 9, 2016.
IMF Report on Afghanistan. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a report (Feb 11, 2016) entitled Islamic Republic of Afghanistan: Ex Post Assessment of Longer-Term Program Engagement.
Paper - Economy, Education & Health. The Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AREU) has published a 93-page paper entitled The Political Economy of Education and Health Service Delivery, dated January 2016.
Way Forward for Economy. The Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) says that unemployment and lack of economic opportunity are frequently cited by Afghan citizens as a number one problem in Afghanistan. CIPE has launched local economic programs that will be of benefit to several provinces by encouraging economic growth. Read about the Provincial Business Agendas (PBAs) established by CIPE in "A Way Forward for Afghanistan's Economy", CIPE Development Blog, February 8, 2016.
Cities are the Future. According to one report Afghanistan's future is urban with its cities population doubling in the next 15 years. Read State of Afghan Cities Report 2015, by UN Habitat, Feb 2016.
Silk Road, Development, and Afghanistan. China has some long-range and robust plans for its "Silk Road". Plans (including a maritime component) are to link existing and future rail and road links from China through Central Asia to the Middle East and Europe. For this to happen the region must see a level of security and stability (Afghanistan stands out here). Read more in "China's Silk Road: How China is Building the Biggest Commercial-Military Empire in History", Offiziere.ch, February 2, 2016.
Foreign Investment Drops. The Afghanistan Chamber of Commerce and Industries (ACCI) said that there is danger of an economic recession if the government does not take steps to tackle the decline in foreign investment in the country. Read "Afghan Economy Trembles Amid Foreign Investment Decline: ACCI", Tolo News, February 12, 2016.
Riving the Economy. William Byrd says that ". . . reviving the Afghan economy during a time of intensifying violent conflict, declining external financial aid, and ongoing political uncertainty and dysfunction will be extremely challenging." His report proposes some targeted, near-term measures to increase confidence and stimulate the economy. Read What Can Be Done to Revive Afghanistan's Economy?, United States Institute of Peace (USIP), February 9, 2016.
IMF Report on Afghanistan. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a report (Feb 11, 2016) entitled Islamic Republic of Afghanistan: Ex Post Assessment of Longer-Term Program Engagement.
Paper - Economy, Education & Health. The Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AREU) has published a 93-page paper entitled The Political Economy of Education and Health Service Delivery, dated January 2016.
Way Forward for Economy. The Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) says that unemployment and lack of economic opportunity are frequently cited by Afghan citizens as a number one problem in Afghanistan. CIPE has launched local economic programs that will be of benefit to several provinces by encouraging economic growth. Read about the Provincial Business Agendas (PBAs) established by CIPE in "A Way Forward for Afghanistan's Economy", CIPE Development Blog, February 8, 2016.
Cities are the Future. According to one report Afghanistan's future is urban with its cities population doubling in the next 15 years. Read State of Afghan Cities Report 2015, by UN Habitat, Feb 2016.
Silk Road, Development, and Afghanistan. China has some long-range and robust plans for its "Silk Road". Plans (including a maritime component) are to link existing and future rail and road links from China through Central Asia to the Middle East and Europe. For this to happen the region must see a level of security and stability (Afghanistan stands out here). Read more in "China's Silk Road: How China is Building the Biggest Commercial-Military Empire in History", Offiziere.ch, February 2, 2016.
Foreign Investment Drops. The Afghanistan Chamber of Commerce and Industries (ACCI) said that there is danger of an economic recession if the government does not take steps to tackle the decline in foreign investment in the country. Read "Afghan Economy Trembles Amid Foreign Investment Decline: ACCI", Tolo News, February 12, 2016.
SOF News
SOF Shopping for Weapons. Last month the U.S. Special Operations Command (USSOCOM) sent out a shopping list to arms dealers that included AK-47 rifles, heavy mortars, and anti-tank rocket-propelled grenades. The Soviet-bloc weapons will likely be used in an anti-ISIS effort (probably Syria). Read more in "The Pentagon's Shopping List of Weapons to Fight ISIS", BuzzFeedNews, February 11, 2016.UAE SF to Syria. The United Arab Emirates have been strong coalition partners in Afghanistan for quite a number of years - including the deployment of its Special Forces units. Now we have news that the UAE will also be sending its Special Forces to take part in the battle in Syria. They will be part of an effort to train and enable local Arab fighters who are motivated to recapture Raqqa, Syria - an Islamic State stronghold. Read "Carter Says UAW Will Put Special Forces in Syria", ABC News, February 12, 2016.
SF Soldiers Return from Afghanistan. Soldiers from the Utah Army National Guard landed at Salt Lake City International Airport on Friday night (Feb 12th) after a six-month long deployment to Afghanistan. (Salt Lake Tribune, Feb 12, 2016.).
SOF Construction on Fort Bragg. USSOCOM is funding some building projects on Fort Bragg, North Carolina in support of the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC) and the United States Army Special Operations Command (USASOC). The projects include a combat medic training facility, parachute rigging facility, and a tactical equipment maintenance facility. Read more in "Fort Bragg Bolstered by Continued Growth in Special Operations", Miltary.com, February 10, 2016.
New Resource for Special Operations Forces (SOF) News. Here is a webpage that lists government, military, and private sector webpages with news about Special Operations Forces (SOF).
SOF's Flintlock Explained. Flintlock (in the days that I remember participating) was about 10th Special Forces Group (with some participation from the USAR and NG SF groups) setting up a base in England, isolating teams for mission preparation, getting on a Combat Talon, and parachuting into a potato field in Germany at 0300 with weapons, food, blank ammo, radios, and other equipment to perform a Direct Action (DA), Strategic Reconnaissance (SR), or Unconventional Warfare (UW) mission behind supposed enemy lines against the Soviet-bloc nations occupying Western and Central Europe. Other variants included play in Norway, Italy, Belguim, etc. Nowadays (probably since 2005) the Flintlock exercise involves special operations training exercises in Africa. Read more in "5 Facts of Flintlock", United States Africa Command, February 3, 2016.
Norway's Female SOF Unit. Many of the European nations have been years ahead of integrating women into combat roles in their military. Read more in "Norway's 'Hunter Troop' - The World's First All-Female Special Forces", Foreign Affairs, February 8, 2016.
Women in Combat Units
Women and the Draft. There was a time when 366 table tennis balls determined the fate of young male Americans each year. Those old enough will remember that this was a time when young men learned if they were to go off to military training and possibly end up in Vietnam or if they would stay at home to go to college, get married, enter the work force, or hang out on the beach. I was one of the last group of young men that participated in the draft lottery and was fortunate to receive the draft number of "312" - too high a number to be drafted. However, I wanted to serve so I enlisted in the Army. The draft is no longer needed as we have switched to "The All Volunteer Army" - paying military members a decent wage and providing long-term career opportunities that are almost competitive with those found in civilian life. With the social experimentation now ongoing (women being integrated into combat units and training) now is the time to reward equal opportunity with equal responsibility. Read more in "Draft Registration for Women Would Stir a Sleepy Government Agency", The New York Times, February 7, 2016.
Draft Them! Amy Schafer, a Research Assistant for the Center for a New American Security says "Of Course Women Should Register for the Draft", War on the Rocks, February 12, 2016.
How Do Women Feel on Draft? Not so Much! A recent polls says that 52 percent of women oppose requiring women to register, while 38 percent favor it and 10 percent are undecided. 61 percent of men thought it was a most excellent idea! Read more in "Poll: Most women oppose registering for draft", The Hill Defense Blog, February 10, 2016.
Women in Combat - a Big Shift. Shawn Snow writes that the "Military's move toward women in combat signals a major paradigm shift", Navy Times, February 7, 2016. Citing the need for qualified personnel to fill high-tech roles within the military Snow believes the military is on the right track in recruiting women for combat jobs.
RAND Studies on Women & Combat. A bunch of reports by RAND Corporation on the integration of women into combat units. (The RAND Blog, Feb 2016).
Women and Open Questions. With the military opening all jobs to women there is a lot of uncertainty circulating. Two big issues are 1) will standards be lowered (reducing the effectiveness of the fighting force) and 2) will military leaders (and rank and file) be accepting of the new policy. Read more in "Questions, frustration as women prepare to join combat units", Military Times, February 10, 2016.
Women and SEALs - Some Realities. A writer lists "The Top 10 Realities the First Female Navy SEAL Trainee Will Face", SOFREP, February 8, 2016.
Draft Them! Amy Schafer, a Research Assistant for the Center for a New American Security says "Of Course Women Should Register for the Draft", War on the Rocks, February 12, 2016.
How Do Women Feel on Draft? Not so Much! A recent polls says that 52 percent of women oppose requiring women to register, while 38 percent favor it and 10 percent are undecided. 61 percent of men thought it was a most excellent idea! Read more in "Poll: Most women oppose registering for draft", The Hill Defense Blog, February 10, 2016.
Women in Combat - a Big Shift. Shawn Snow writes that the "Military's move toward women in combat signals a major paradigm shift", Navy Times, February 7, 2016. Citing the need for qualified personnel to fill high-tech roles within the military Snow believes the military is on the right track in recruiting women for combat jobs.
RAND Studies on Women & Combat. A bunch of reports by RAND Corporation on the integration of women into combat units. (The RAND Blog, Feb 2016).
Women and Open Questions. With the military opening all jobs to women there is a lot of uncertainty circulating. Two big issues are 1) will standards be lowered (reducing the effectiveness of the fighting force) and 2) will military leaders (and rank and file) be accepting of the new policy. Read more in "Questions, frustration as women prepare to join combat units", Military Times, February 10, 2016.
Women and SEALs - Some Realities. A writer lists "The Top 10 Realities the First Female Navy SEAL Trainee Will Face", SOFREP, February 8, 2016.
News Snippets
Mixing Combat with Alcohol. Our NATO allies, perplexed by the continued lack of alcohol consumption by U.S. forces in combat zones, will likely appreciate this article entitled "A Combined History of Combat and Alcohol", by Brad Dewees, War on the Rocks, February 12, 2016.
Video - Kuchi Nomads. Hundreds of thousands of nomads move their families and livestock back and forth across Afghanistan's border with Pakistan. The Kuchis live a hard life in a country with serious economic and security problems. Watch this 3-minute long video - Kuchi Nomads: Struggling And Stateless in War-Torn Lands, by Radio Free Europe, February 8, 2016.
Book - The Last Thousand. Jeffrey E. Stern's The Last Thousand explores the mission of a struggling Afghan school in light of reduced funding and the pullback of U.S. troops from Afghanistan. (The New York Times, Feb 7, 2016).
Child Soldiers and Afghanistan. The recent killing by the Taliban of a 12-year old 'boy soldier' has brought international attention to the issue of child soldiers in Afghanistan. Although it's illegal, government forces and insurgents have been recruiting minors for years. Read more in "Child soldiers - What's their rile in the Afghan conflict?", Deutsche Welle, February 11, 2016.
Baluchistan Troubles. The demographics of the Baluchistan province of Pakistan - situated to the south of Afghanistan - has been changing due to the influx of Afghan refugees (Pashtuns) and other immigrants. This is having a dramatic effect on the status of Pakistan's Balochs - who may, due to an upcoming census, find themselves at a disadvantage. Read more in "Pakistan's Balochs Fear Minority Status in Their Own Province", The Diplomat, February 11, 2016.
203rd Cdr Interview. Lt. General Yaftali, commander of the 203rd Corps in Afghanistan is expressing support for the upcoming peace talks and says that the people of Afghanistan hope that the talks will lead to peace and stability. He also says that his soldiers and officers have good cooperation with the Afghan police forces. (2 mins, YouTube.com, posted by Resolute Support HQs on Feb 9, 2016). www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VKaHY78pdE
DoD Biometrics Directive Updated. The DoD has updated a directive that establishes policy and assigns responsibility for DoD biometrics. Read "Department of Defense Directive Number 8521.01E, DoD Biometrics, January 13, 2016.
www.dtic.mil/whs/directives/corres/pdf/852101E.pdf
How Many Contractors in Afghanistan? The Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Logistics & Material Readiness publishes "Quarterly Contractor Census Reports" for Central Command (CENTCOM). The January 2016 report shows that Afghanistan has 30,455 total contractors of which 10,151 are U.S. citizens, 6,586 are Third Country Nationals, and 13,718 are Local/Host Country Nationals. Most conduct logistics, maintenance, base support, communications support, construction, and security functions.
Writing about GWOT. As with every war, upon the conclusion (or as it draws near), veterans emerge who write to tell their story of their perspective of the war - whether through blogs, news articles, papers, or books. The "Global War on Terror" is no exception. Read more in "Writing today's war literature: Figuring out our story, not Hollywood's or D.C.'s", by Sebastian J. Bae, Best Defense, Foreign Policy, February 4, 2016.
Explore Your Writing Creativity
The Afghan War News Blog and the Afghan War News website is constantly striving to keep its blog, weekly newsletter, and website factual, current, and relevant. If you have a link to a website or document you feel should be shared with the greater community then please send it to us. In addition, we are looking for individuals with knowledge, experience, and expertise in Afghanistan on a wide range of topics (culture, security, development, governance, politics, etc.) to contribute blog posts and articles to our blog and add content to our website. Frequency of submission is up to you. If you wrote a paper on a relevant topic and would like to share it send it to us for posting on the blog and / or the website. If I missed an important story about Afghanistan - please let me know. Send the link! And naturally, if you see errors, outdated information, or broken links please let us know.
staff@afghanwarnews.info
staff@afghanwarnews.info
Enjoy Afghan War News w/ Morning Coffee Every Sunday A.M.
You can receive the Afghan War Blog Weekly Newsletter by email. It should arrive in your e-mail inbox at 0500 U.S. East coast time or just after lunch (1330) in Kabul every Sunday. It is easy to subscribe. To submit your subscription request go to www.afghanwarnews.blogspot.com and enter your email in the "Follow by Email" dialogue box at the top of the right hand column. The only info needed is your email. No personal data, no forms to fill out, and no passwords needed. You will receive a confirmation email asking you if you want to subscribe. Just confirm and you are done. It is also easy to unsubscribe. At the bottom of the newsletter click "unsubscribe" and you will be automatically unsubscribed.
Sunday, February 7, 2016
Afghan War Blog Weekly Newsletter (Feb 7, 2016)
Welcome to the Afghan War Blog Weekly Newsletter. Articles are posted online on the blog and sent out via email newsletter on Sunday morning. We welcome comments, ideas for stories, contributions, and guest writers! Visit our website at www.afghanwarnews.info, follow us on Twitter at @AfghanWarBlog, and on LinkedIn at www.linkedin.com/in/afghan-war-news.
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)













