This comprehensive report provides an executive summary, a summary of assessments, summary of conclusions, threat assessment, ANSF force-sizing framework, assessment of ANSF size, structure, capabilities, posture, and capability gaps. The Ministry of Interior (MoI) and Ministry of Defense (MoD) are assessed for their respective capabilities. There are several appendixes that provide organizational charts, matrix of authorities, model law for Afghan authorities post-2104, acronyms, bibliography, tables, figures, and more.
"The CNA report concludes that the security environment in Afghanistan will be more challenging after the draw-down of international forces in 2014; that the Taliban insurgency will become a greater threat to stability than now; and that a small group of al Qaeda members will remain active in remote valleys of northeastern Afghanistan. We also conclude that the ANSF will require a security force (Afghan National Army and Police) of 373,400 people - smaller than their present size but significantly larger than was envisaged at the 2012 NATO summit in Chicago. A force of lesser size than 373,000 would, in our assessment, increase the risk of instability of Afghanistan and make success less likely for the U.S. policy goal for Afghanistan".The report, Independent Assessment of the Afghan National Security Forces, is an Adobe Acrobat PDF, 4 MBs big, and 378 pages long. It can be accessed on the CNA website at this link.